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Some years ago, a Hata Yogi declared that he could walk
on water and invited a select audience including the media
to watch the feat. There were several believers and devotees
who all trumpeted the wild promise without applying their
minds. On the appointed day, the Yogi stepped out into
the pool but went, literally and later figuratively, “under
water”. The people, including a famous tabloid,
who touted the event, sulked thereafter. There are two
lessons of relevance here arising from this well remembered
episode of the 70s. One is that expectations, if not tempered
with the potential risks, can be disastrous dreams and
the other is that the people who canvass should use their
minds better than blindly carry out the task.
Majority
of the stock options issued during the boom days are all
“underwater” i.e. below the exercise price
(also called the strike price). Some are even below the
face value of the stock. This is a devastating carnage
of the illusions and dreams of reaching Infosys levels
of wealth. Employees are cursing their companies as much
as the top bosses are wailing the erosion in shareholder
wealth. The HR manager has been good a whipping boy for
mindlessly “selling” the scheme and making
short shrift of communications.
The
employee who has “underwater” options (exercise
price being higher than the market price) or “in
the money” options (exercise price being same as
the market price) is unlikely to exercise the vested options.
If the final date of exercise is close, he may forego
the options and if the exercise period is long, he will
want to watch the markets closely. The situation for him
is not as bad as for those who had exercised their options
earlier and had not exited when the going was good. They
are decidedly the losers and should feel foolish. Those
employees who had to pay income tax for the differential
amount between the grant / exercise price and the market
value, as required in earlier years, and are stuck with
“lemons” now, are probably the worst hit.
They
would remember now that stock options are for the sensible
and alert people who can understand the dynamics of the
market, ask hard questions and critically evaluate information.
It is not for the free riders who choose to be blind and
wish to rely on others` judgment explaining it away as
“trust” for lack of motivation or ability
to understand the stock option dynamic. They must learn
to take decisions arising from their own reading of the
upside and downside. They must learn to bear consequences
of their decisions, especially as the markets are often
outside the control of the company.
For
the company, the main choices are whether to (a) re-price
the stocks en block or selectively, (b) issue
additional stocks at the current low levels to off-set
the loss in some measure, or (c) cancel all outstanding
options and abandon stock option schemes as a bad dream
never to be entertained in future.
Repricing
involves reducing the price in respect of the outstanding
options from the level at which they were offered, to
the current market price or even lower. Some companies
like NIIT have done this. Obviously, this move will not
cover losses arising from earlier decisions by the employees
of exercising their rights but holding on to the shares
without exiting.
On
re-pricing, the company realizes lesser amount than originally
estimated which would affect the financial position. The
guidelines in India have not clarified the accounting
impact of such re-pricing. In the case of USA, the Federal
Accounting Standards Board has issued guidelines according
to which any such concession will be treated as an employee
cost and an expense in the books of the company.
Even
if the company were not to be bothered about the accounting
implications, as it is flush with money, there are two
critical points that need to be addressed.
By
re-pricing, the company will be creating an impression
and expectation amongst the employees that there will
be a perpetual safety net against falling prices and that
there will never be a downside risk. This agitates against
the very foundation of stock options, which imply that
employees take the risk of the market variations as they
rake in potential benefits. If the company also has a
scheme of Stock Appreciation Rights, the concerned employees
may expect the same beneficial treatment, which will result
in a “freebie” or the culture of a “deferred
wage”.
The
second critical point in repricing relates to corporate
governance. If the markets went down, do companies compensate
other shareholders or holders of convertible debentures?
Obviously not. It is in this context that the institutional
investors in the West have been decidedly against re-pricing
of stock options. They feel that re-pricing side steps
the original objectives and brings in a culture of “heads-I-win,
tails you lose”, as the Director of Centre for Financial
Research and Analysis in the USA remarked. Of course,
the HR community and the senior management plead that
employees are a different lot of shareholding stakeholders
– that any cost of repricing can be recovered by
the “retention effect” it creates. That the
cost of recruiting against potential leavers could be
more than the cost of repricing and that the move is in
the interests of the rest of the shareholders. This is
rather a weak argument though, based on assertions than
research.
Within
the choice of repricing, companies have a sub-choice of
selective re-pricing. Selective re-pricing pre-supposes
that some employees deserve to be compensated by re-pricing
while others do not. For instance, senior management is
expected to be bearing the responsibility for the financial
results and the market response. Their reward should be
substantially contingent on market performance of the
company’s stock. Consequently, the argument is that
they should not be given any benefit of re-pricing.
In
the case of other employees, the assumption is that stock
options are sometimes a proxy to cash compensation in
part or full. If such is the case, the company would have
records of the assumptions made on the potential benefits
due to the stock options and as to how much has been set
off against the regular compensation package. Some argue
that these employees deserve the benefit of repricing
of the outstanding options to the extent of the estimated
loss in compensation. Does this answer employees owes
fully? Not necessarily, as there are several connected
issues of equity and motivation.
Microsoft
avoided the terrible mess of re-pricing by giving new/additional
options at the current market price to compensate for
the assumed loss due to the underwater options. In such
cases, it is assumed that the flow of benefit in future
due to the rising market prices will offset the notional
or actual losses incurred by the employee, on account
of the earlier stock options for which the exercise price
was relatively high. If the assumption fails, the company
will be expected to intervene again with a fresh tranche
at even lower prices, with greater impact on the accounts
and noises from the other shareholders.
Protestations
from other shareholders could be expected due to the apprehended
impact of additional stock options on the over all shareholder
value. Other shareholders tend to believe that fresh offers
will dilute the market and thus reduce the potential value
of their shares.
Institutional
activists believe that senior management can induce arguments
and even artificial conditions by which they can benefit
from fresh issues at low prices. They fear that this will
become a perpetual cycle to suit sectional financial interests
defeating the foundations of the stock option policy.
For this reason, senior management is often excluded from
the compensatory additional issue of options.
Apart
from the repricing and fresh issues, there are other methods
of mitigating the effect of the carnage – like prolonging
the exercise period or direct compensation on a taxable
basis. These reactions to the “bust” conditions
appear to mask an inherent problem in the assumptions
that is becoming increasingly apparent.
It
is evident by now that simplistic design and administration
of stock option plans can be as disastrous as the Hata
Yogis attempt. They may not match the fundamental
principles of capital markets.
Stock
options are considered an efficient method of compensating
employees on the basis of the returns to the investors.
Thus, if the market pushes the stock prices either way,
it should get reflected in the employee’s compensation.
However, there is an increasing feeling that this indeed
is a weak linkage as the stock price movements appear
to be less driven by managerial performance or non-performance
than a combination of secular, seasonal, cyclical and
sectoral trends. A McKinsey report suggests that the total
returns to shareholders appear to be determined by market
and sectoral movements to the extent of 40% of the returns.
Thus, managers` compensation through stock options will
appear to be rewards or penalties for events beyond their
substantive influence.
Further
complications have been noticed in recent periods. For
instance, consistent performance of companies does not
appear to be rewarded by the market sentiments as much
as the difference between the market expectations and
actual performance! Commensurately, even if the actual
performance were high, there could be a dip in the market
prices if it does not meet the expectations of the research
analysts who are the opinion makers. Similarly, managers
in some badly performing companies may get the benefit
of short spikes unrelated to actual efforts at improving
the company’s financial performance. For example,
a set of good Board decisions or senior management appointments
or a potential takeover by a great company may push up
the market prices giving wealth to undeserving managers.
Considering
the carnage, the horns of dilemmas in compensating for
the under water options and the complexities showing the
weak linkage between manager performance and stock price
movements, the HR professional should be tempted to cancel
all stock option schemes as a bad dream. However,
these difficulties do not indicate the futility of stock
options as a compensation and performance management devise.
They actually point to the need for greater sophistication
and modeling by which the variations are neutralized so
as to capture the linkage between performance and the
returns to the shareholders. The challenge is just
as complex as it was in measuring improvements in productivity
purely due to the labour effort and rewarding them.
Companies
running away from stock options will soon find it to be
an ill-advised move. Stock options are global phenomena
and may go through the same cycles of enthusiasm and disaffection
as any other market related instrument. The potency of
stock options is in linking the perspectives of managers
to the shareholder value even if the correlation is admittedly
moderate. It continues to be effective in creating a stake
for the senior managers than the salary can possibly offer.
More importantly, it is a compensation, which does not
imply a cash outflow for the company and introduces the
essential element of variability in pay.
Progressive
companies should actually get aggressive exactly at these
times - when the entire stock option design and its communication
needs re-engineering; when the threat of employee turnover
is far lesser; when the moods are subdued enough for employees
to listen well and comprehend the dynamics, the complexities,
upsides, downsides, and their decision points. More importantly,
companies will find that a bottomed out market also presents
the greatest potential for the upside reward – this
should be the best of times for the HR manager to take
the bull by the horns than run away from this inevitable
globally accepted instrument.
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